Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.360388 32.719986 37.445333 42.937280 49.133844 55.897879 63.828997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 20.984745 27.008596 34.174050 43.274639 54.468859 67.728191 84.556740
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 16.617541 23.346816 31.962904 43.686466 59.087067 78.476982 104.561318
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 12.684388 19.264722 28.253801 41.236731 59.274517 83.179071 116.925994
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 10.987189 17.813734 27.654797 42.580748 64.279735 94.238759 138.177537
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 9.904068 17.016074 27.766054 44.779551 70.497357 107.266145 162.957993
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.290212 15.106713 25.913664 43.758559 71.791510 113.261127 178.066622
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.793243 13.122400 23.638871 41.736046 71.239202 116.328802 188.908833
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.413056 12.976930 24.295724 44.413801 78.169588 131.069697 218.174291
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.282625 13.249430 25.663924 48.364905 87.422346 149.975931 255.006765
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.674583 12.531207 25.201814 49.105691 91.374943 160.688189 279.548218
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.025402 11.628119 24.284735 48.918792 93.679342 168.804528 300.322029
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.288985 10.469609 22.821345 47.723213 94.368326 174.707523 318.606103
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.772994 9.698439 22.022890 47.714796 97.240179 184.630840 344.528099
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.363271 9.087939 21.460106 48.085508 100.819774 196.011370 373.678651
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.752165 7.886664 19.491235 45.401619 98.340915 196.411597 383.626963
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.549124 7.639776 19.541915 46.862161 103.991766 211.877419 421.282958
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.430466 7.586129 20.013837 49.255144 111.675845 231.573562 467.729971
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.099260 6.901465 18.934408 48.143674 112.127065 237.655856 489.439790
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.753771 6.099471 17.451904 45.941464 110.078672 238.745252 501.786804
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.715275 6.182271 18.161778 48.856881 119.143856 262.104466 557.818279
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.740682 6.463728 19.409301 53.155692 131.519590 292.722727 629.391632
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.600970 6.203021 19.213205 53.961297 136.253284 308.237756 672.269211